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US stocks tilted higher on Monday as the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) touched new intraday highs and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) dipped below 40,000 after closing above the landmark level for the first time on Friday.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.3%, and the Dow wavered around the flatline in the wake of the blue-chip benchmark’s record close on Friday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed about 0.6% as Nvidia (NVDA) shares gained ahead of the chipmaker’s highly anticipated earnings later this week.
Stocks have gained as investors become more optimistic that the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates, despite words of caution from policymakers. All three major gauges closed at record highs on Friday as appetite for risk rose and Wall Street strategists painted a bullish picture for stocks.
A key question for investors is whether that outlook is sustainable or whether it’s getting ahead of where the Fed is headed. A key test comes on Wednesday, with the release of minutes from the Fed meeting in May, as Yahoo Finance’s Josh Schafer reports.
On Monday Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and Fed Vice Chair of Supervision Michael Barr pointed to disappointing inflation in the first quarter as a reason for holding rates where they are, allowing more time for restrictive policy to work.
Read more: How does the labor market affect inflation?
The market is bracing for heavily anticipated quarterly results from Nvidia on Wednesday, eyed as a key catalyst for the rally in stocks. Expectations for the AI chipmaker’s earnings and revenue are sky-high — for growth of 400% and 240%, respectively — and the focus is on whether it can again live up to the hype.
At the same time, rallies in commodity markets are fueling fears of a knock-on rise for US inflation. Copper prices on the LME topped $11,000 a ton for the first time, soaring to their highest-ever level as a looming supply shortage draws in investors. Meanwhile, gold prices (GC=F) jumped to tap an intraday record at around $2,450 an ounce.
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