Oil prices (BZ=F, CL=F) have been moving back and forth since Iran’s attack on Israel last weekend, with Israel ultimately retaliating Thursday night and raising more concerns of further escalation. With tensions rising in the Middle East and the potential for conflict to spread, concerns over the impacts on global oil production have also been raised.
Prosper Trading Academy CEO Scott Bauer joins The Morning Brief to discuss oil prices, the state of shipping in the Middle East, and impacts on consumers and investors alike.
Bauer outlines what risks are at stake and what to keep in mind during these tense times: "The real risk of this is that the Strait of Hormuz closes down or consolidates at a point where we can’t get crude through there because 20% of the world’s supply passes through there, so that is the big risk. It’s not a risk of Iran is not going to supply anything or oil is not going to still be pumped — it’s the delivery. So that’s number one. Number two, where do we go from here? I know people are pegging $100 [per barrel], I think that’s just an easy number… and what we have to keep in mind is when the start of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine began, we saw oil prices spike all the way to $125, I don’t see that happening."
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