Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump engaged in their first presidential debate on Tuesday, addressing a range of national issues. To analyze the debate’s impact, UBS Global Wealth Management Co-Lead of ElectionWatch Tom McLoughlin joins Catalysts.
McLoughlin notes that the debate provided Vice President Harris an opportunity to reach undecided voters, but questions the lasting effect of this exposure. He identifies the key issues influencing undecided voters as reproductive rights, US-Mexico border policies, and economic concerns, particularly around inflation.
Regarding post-debate polling and overall election cycle trends, McLoughlin highlights a unique challenge in interpreting poll data. "One of the issues with polling is that Donald Trump brings out people that have not voted or will never vote in any of the elections, but will vote for the former president."
He states this makes Trump an "unusual candidate" and complicates the accuracy of traditional polling methods.
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